Israel and the Fourth Turning
Generational Analysis Part VIII
Strauss and Howe see history in eighty year cycles. One explanation is that eighty years is a normal human life span, which, divided into sections of twenty year stages (youth, adulthood, maturity, elderhood), gives four generations.
Each generation gets it’s characteristic traits by the impact of a common event. Each is impacted by a cultural/historical event differently depending on their age and stage of human development at the time of the event. The attack on Pearl Harbor and WWII saw the youth (Silent generation) protected, the young adults (GI generation) given a collective task, the mature adults (Lost generation) organizing the nation to accomplish the task, and the elders (Missionary generation) giving the vision and strategy to the task. This event will impact their lives and their souls and their subsequent human development as well as their impact on their descendants.
This year Israel is seventy-seven years old. It is important to know that the last two prime ministers of Israel, Ehud Barak and Benjamin Netanyahu, spoke about the eighty-year cycle/time-frame in terms of Israel’s viability.
[Ehud] Barak, perceived to be a 'progressive' politician, who was once the leader of Israel's Labor Party, expressed fears that Israel will "disintegrate" before the 80th anniversary of its 1948 establishment.
"Throughout the Jewish history, the Jews did not rule for more than eighty years, except in the two kingdoms of David and the Hasmonean dynasty and, in both periods, their disintegration began in the eighth decade," Barak said.
Based on pseudo-historical analysis, Barak's prophecy seemed to conflate historical facts with typical messianic Israeli thinking, reminiscent of statements made by Israel's former Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu in 2017.
Like Barak, Netanyahu's comments were expressed in the form of fear over the future of Israel, and the looming 'existential threat', the cornerstone of Israeli hasbara throughout the years. At a Bible study session in his house in Jerusalem, Netanyahu had then warned that the Hasmonean kingdom - also known as the Maccabees - had merely survived for 80 years before it was conquered by the Romans in 63 B.C.E.
The "Hasmonean state lasted only 80 years, and we needed to exceed this," Netanyahu was quoted by one of the attendees as saying, the Israeli Haaretz newspaper reported.
But, even according to Netanyahu's purported determination to exceed that number, he had reportedly vowed to ensure Israel will surpass the Maccabees' 80 years, and survive for 100 years. That is merely 20 years more.
Israel was founded in 1948 after, and as a result of, the Jewish ordeal of WWII. These post-war years coincided with the rise of American global power, the Pax Americana. This era is called, in academic and legal circles, the “Nuremberg Regime”.
The Nuremberg Academy describes this regime as a legal framework whose legacy continues to shape institutions:
“Criminalised aggressive war… established individual criminal responsibility … removed Head of State immunity … laid the groundwork for foundational definitions, modes of liability … emphasised fair trial rights.”
The United Nations General Assembly formally affirmed the principles enshrined in the Nuremberg Tribunal, which later became known as the Nuremberg Principles:
“The General Assembly of the United Nations unanimously adopted a resolution affirming ‘the principles of international law acknowledged in the Charter of the Nuremberg Tribunal and in the judgment of this Tribunal.’”
A rupture in the Nuremburg Regime has been friction between sovereignty and international norms with claims of hypocrisy on the part of the U.S., Israel, and the West in general.
In the U.S. we are coming to the end of the American Empire, the Pax Americana. The only questions is will it be a rational retrenchment or a collapse. The post-war international regime is coming to an end as well, the Nuremberg Regime. For example, sanctions have had little to no effect on Russia, and may have even made Russia stronger and more resilient.
The international role of the United States(the American Empire), the Nuremberg Regime, and Israeli hypocrisy are all being called out by Gen-X and Millennial pundits such as Tucker Carlson, Candace Owens, Joe Rogan, and Darryl Cooper. The old consensus is falling away.
The last two prime ministers of Israel have expressed concerns about the eighty year cycle of history as prophetic for the modern state of Israel. These three issues, the American Empire, the Nuremberg Regime, and Israel are obviously connected.
The U.S. spends billions of dollars on Israel to support their defense and their hi-tech economy. Israel is called the “Start-up Nation”. Israeli companies and alumni of Unit 8200 (Israel's elite cyber-intelligence unit) have founded major cybersecurity firms, many of which have been acquired by, or integrated with, U.S. defense contractors, banks, and tech companies, firms such as Check Point, Palo Alto Networks, SentinelOne, and CyberArk.
While the Israeli economy is not at a standstill, there is some short-term resilience due to U.S. auxiliary aid, but there is long-term strain. Markets and key industries seem to be holding up, but high military costs and labor issues, as citizens and foreign workers leave to seek safety, pose real risks, especially if conflicts continue or escalate.
Looking upstream and downstream from where you sit in the global economy, how much of your flow is touched by and depends upon:
The relative lack of friction in global trade due to the Pax Americana?
The global legal framework of the Nuremberg Regime?
Israeli tech?
The U.S. Defense Industry?
American Foreign Aid Systems?
Can you put a number on it? Can you see alternatives? Can you build alternatives?
https://www.laprogressive.com/foreign-policy/a-grim-future-for-the-jewish-state https://www.nurembergacademy.org/about-us/nuremberg-principles https://museums.nuernberg.de/memorium-nuremberg-trials/the-legacy-of-nuremberg/birth-of-international-criminal-law/